Machine Learning Based Rating Predictor

Revision en1, by fbrunodr, 2025-06-24 18:08:20

TLDR;

I built an enterprise grade machine learning model to predict a user rating 6 months in the future. The model has mean absolute error of 65.15 (that is, $$$ E \left [ \left | \hat{x} - x \right | \right ] = 65.15 $$$). You can use it here:

https://fbrunodr.com/predict-codeforces-rating

Motivation:

Tags machine learning, rating

History

 
 
 
 
Revisions
 
 
  Rev. Lang. By When Δ Comment
en8 English fbrunodr 2025-06-26 01:26:50 228
en7 English fbrunodr 2025-06-24 22:27:55 0 (published)
en6 English fbrunodr 2025-06-24 22:17:56 5 Tiny change: 'ore) have a slight ' -> 'ore) have only a slight '
en5 English fbrunodr 2025-06-24 22:13:19 9492 Tiny change: 'se we thing an averag' -> 'se we think an averag'
en4 English fbrunodr 2025-06-24 20:26:28 3500 Tiny change: 'ng\n\n### ' -> 'ng\n\n### How to improve your rating\n\n### '
en3 English fbrunodr 2025-06-24 18:34:47 108
en2 English fbrunodr 2025-06-24 18:33:42 1718 Tiny change: 'ject).\n\n\n2. I s' -> 'ject).\n\n2. I s'
en1 English fbrunodr 2025-06-24 18:08:20 413 Initial revision (saved to drafts)